A big quake on the Alpine Fault could block South Island highways in more than 120 places and leave 10,000 people cut off, new research has estimated. A powerful 7.1 magnitude earthquake, occurred on the Greendale Fault at 4:35 am on 4 September 2010 local time (16:35 3 September UTC). The fault rupture (Fig. When I woke up to feel the first Christchurch earthquake (4 September 2010) my first thought after WTF was whether it was ‘the big one’ expected some time on the Alpine Fault. Position data from GPS stations (Fig. The rock on the south side of the fault has moved up and westward by as much as 2.5 metres relative to the rock on the north side of the fault. A rupture of the fault was therefore considered inevitable, with severe damage predicted to the built environment - especially to infrastructure. The red star shows the location where the fault rupture started. The general region of fault slip is outlined by the aftershocks of the 22 February earthquake. The Christchurch Fault is an active seismic fault running under the city of Christchurch in the middle of New Zealand's South Island . Earthquakes happen when a fault suddenly breaks. North Canterbury residents will have a chance to hear from leading natural hazard scientist, Professor Tom Wilson of University Of Canterbury about the impacts and consequences of a future magnitude 8 earthquake along the Alpine Fault, and how people can become better prepared for it. Alpine Fault. Christchurch Earthquake. Even from a distance they are quite disconcerting. electricity returned to 75% of the city. The devastating earthquake that tore through Christchurch on Tuesday is the product of a new fault line in the Earth’s crust that seismologists were previously unaware of. / Recent Events The greatest movement was upward and toward the northwest under the Avon-Heathcote estuary area. Share. It is possible that a large Alpine Fault earthquake could also rupture the western part of some faults of the Marlborough Fault … Rebuild. The Alpine Fault has a high probability (estimated at 30%) of rupturing in the next 50 years. When I woke up to feel the first Christchurch earthquake (4 September 2010) my first thought after WTF was whether it was ‘the big one’ expected some time on the Alpine Fault. The fault is not a vertical cut through the earth, but rather it dips towards the south at an angle of about 65 degrees from the horizontal. The main part of the fault thus lies beneath the northern edge of the Port Hills. 50-100 years to completely recover. / Natural Hazards and Risks It runs from an area close to Riccarton, under the Central City, through the eastern suburbs off the coast of New Brighton. The Christchurch Fault is an active seismic fault running under the city of Christchurch in the middle of New Zealand's South Island. The contour lines indicate the amount (in mm) the land has risen (blue contours) or subsided (red contours) due to the slip on the fault. Geologists and researchers agree an alpine fault earthquake poses the main seismic hazard in the South Island. I felt the next Christchurch quake (22 February) while at work, and a few aftershocks as well. Running through the heart of New Zealand's glacier country is the infamous Alpine Fault. However, there may be additional subsidence as a result of ground compaction and liquefaction during the strong shaking. As a direct result of the fault slip, the Bexley, Aranui, Wainoni, Avondale and New Brighton areas have gone down, mostly by less than 15 centimetres. It runs parallel to the more destructive Port Hills Fault that lies 5 km to the south of the Christchurch Fault. The Alpine Fault is a geological fault that runs almost the entire length of New Zealand's South Island (c. 480 km) and forms the boundary between the Pacific Plate and the Indo-Australian Plate. It may have been responsible for a moderate earthquake that shook the city in 1869. For CSK satellite radar data: e-GEOS, an ASI/Telespazio company, especially Andrea Celentano. Different forecasts have put the probability of a future Alpine Fault quake measuring over 8.0 as high as 65 per cent within the next 50 years - and almost 85 per cent over 100 years. Figure 3: Image indicating ground displacement made by combining satellite radar images taken before and after the earthquake. The 3.24am quake was 5km deep and reported by more than 600 people around Queenstown and Wanaka. Just as the Kaikōura earthquake in 2016 had a significant impact on Wellington, we expect that when the Alpine Fault ruptures in a large magnitude earthquake it will be widely felt across the lower North Island. Figure 1: This Google map image shows the fault plane (rectangular area) across the southern part of Christchurch and northern Port Hills. Our scientific understanding concerning the next large earthquake on the Alpine Fault, New Zealand. In 1873 a new resident architect, New Zealander Benjamin Mountfort, took over and construction began again. For GPS data: LINZ, especially Josh Thomas and Dave Collett; GeoNet; Geosystems/Trimble New Zealand; Global Survey; Andersen & Associates, especially Brent George; Christchurch City Council; Otago University. [1], The Christchurch fault is believed to have been responsible for a series of earthquakes that rocked the city on Boxing Day of 2010. 6 months on-repairs. In between earthquakes, the Alpine Fault is locked. The largest city within the highest-risk zone is the nation's capital, Wellington, followed by Hastings then Napier. Despite catastrophic damage in the city, its area of impact was about 50km. A big quake on the Alpine Fault could block South Island highways in more than 120 places and leave 10,000 people cut off, new research has estimated. Canterbury. The Alpine Fault runs for about 600km up the spine of the South Island, and is one of the world’s major geological features. 0 Comments. Even from a … The top of the fault lies at a depth of about a kilometre beneath the surface, and the rupture extends down along the fault plane for about seven kilometres. I felt the next Christchurch quake (22 February) while at work, and a few aftershocks as well. Large earthquakes are less common along the central Alpine Fault, where the plates are not subducting and the forces are accommodated in different ways. This article describes our understanding of the Christchurch earthquake fault as at the 8th of April, about 7 weeks after the earthquake. Within 3 days... 80% of roads and 50% of footpaths were repaired. The Alpine Fault creates the earthquake by the opposite sides rubbing against each other after tension has built up between the two. The Port Hills have gone up by varying amounts, from about 5 centimetres under Lyttelton Harbour to a maximum of about 25 centimetres at the base of the hills near the Heathcote valley. 1). / Canterbury quake Over the next few seconds the rupture spread upwards and towards the northwest, with the amount of slip increasing with time. It comes after scientists claimed the Alpine Fault is overdue for an earthquake that could reshape the South Island. Running through the heart of New Zealand’s glacier country is the infamous Alpine Fault. In fact, the Alpine Fault, which runs for about 600 kilometers through the South Island, suffered major eruptions in 1717, 1620, 1450, and 1100. The way in which the Christchurch earthquake happened was due to the vibration of the ‘Alpine fault’ line which runs for around 600 km through Christchurch (Science, Alpine Fault, 2017). Response spectra are very useful tools for analysing the seismic performance of structures. 50%g respectively during an Alpine fault earthquake, while ground motions in Christchurch are expected to be moderate, with peak ground accelerations (PGAs) of 8%g expected from an Alpine event and 6%g from a Hope fault event. 1) before and after the earthquake was analysed, using measurements from both existing continuous GPS stations and temporary stations installed after the earthquake. 100% (1/1) B.W Mountfort. The 600 kilometer-long (370 mile) faultline on the boundary of the Eurasian and Pacific tectonic plates beneath the country’s South Island produces infrequent but significant earthquakes. Christchurch earthquake. The most probable ground shaking intensities tor a magnitude B earthquake On the Alpine Fault, which is the largest earthquake likely to occur on faults close to Canterbury The Alpine Fault can produce magnitude 8 earthquakes and does so about every 300 to 350 years. In September 2010, Christchurch was shaken by the magnitude 7.1 Darfield earthquake, caused by movement along faults west of the city on the Canterbury Plains. This raised part of the Port Hills and part of southern Christchurch. In September 2010, Christchurch was shaken by the magnitude 7.1 Darfield earthquake, caused by movement along faults west of the city on the Canterbury Plains. Duration: 10min … The images can be combined to show the total amount of shift of the ground surface, both vertically and horizontally, caused by the earthquake (see Fig. In fact, the Alpine Fault, which runs for about 600 kilometers through the South Island, suffered major eruptions in 1717, 1620, 1450, and 1100. Brendon Bradley, professor in earthquake engineering at the University of Canterbury, has created a computer simulation of the likely impact of a magnitude 8 earthquake on the Alpine Fault. The block of land south of the fault slid up the fault surface by as much as 2.5 metres on the section of fault near the Avon-Heathcote estuary. The Alpine Fault creates the earthquake by the opposite sides rubbing against each other after tension has built up between the two. “Just because we didn’t see it in that earthquake in the past, doesn’t mean we won’t see it in the future.” He applies the same caution to the next likely rupture of New Zealand’s largest fault, the Alpine Fault. “I thought we’d dodged a bullet with the Darfield earthquake,” says Bill. Waimakariri District Council media release: 10th November 2020. The worst-affected areas if the Alpine Fault were to rupture have been revealed. [2], "Second Christchurch fault much better behaved", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Christchurch_Fault&oldid=944155164, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 6 March 2020, at 02:08. This was one of the main faults that caused the Canterbury earthquake of 2010. 30,000. 2). It runs virtually the whole length of the West Coast Region, with the high mountains to its east and the lower hill lands and alluvial flats to its west. Magnitude 8 or larger, geologists said in a special edition of the New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics last year. This is called a ‘Transform boundary’. He said it gave the most detailed information yet about the sort of impact a major Alpine Fault earthquake would have on different parts of the South Island. $5 million. At 3 AM on May 29, 2013, the South Island’s technological uncon­scious roars […] The coloured image shows an “interference pattern” derived from X-band radar images taken on 19 and 23 February 2011 by the Italian Cosmo-SkyMed satellite. The direction of movement—up and towards the northwest—focussed the energy of the earthquake towards Christchurch and helps explain the severe damage in the city. The earthquake struck approximately 50 km to the west-northwest of Christchurch, the largest population center in the region, and about 80-90 km to the south and east of the current expression of the Australia-Pacific plate boundary through the island (the Alpine and Hope faults). Away from the main plate boundary faults there are many smaller faults throughout Canterbury. Both Dunedin and Christchurch are likely to experience shaking and liquefaction in low-lying areas,” Dr. Orchiston said. The last earthquake on the Alpine Fault was in 1717. Movement was modelled using the ground shaking recorded during the earthquake by “strong-motion” seismometers. The Alpine Fault can produce magnitude 8 earthquakes and does so about every 300 to 350 years. Movement of land on either side of the fault plane was mixture of vertical motion and sideways slip (Fig. Scientists didn't know of. Written by Geoff Chapple ISSUE 125 Australia gave. construction standards. The nearest fault, the Alpine Fault, lies many hundreds of miles to the west, in — as the name suggests — the Southern Alps. The two plates meet at the Alpine Fault, which runs up the western edge of the Southern Alps, before splitting into four main faults through North Canterbury and Marlborough – the Wairau, Awatere, Clarence and Hope faults. Domestic help from . tectonic plates, approximately 75%, is taken up on the Alpine Fault, approximately 20% . 1) was about 14 kilometres long, and extends east-northeast from Cashmere to the Avon-Heathcote estuary area. Relative to the fault, the land north of the fault shifted eastward while the land to the south of the fault shifted westward. This earthquake produced a visible rent across the landscape that allowed scientists to directly measure the movement of the longest fault segment, the Greendale Fault. This earthquake produced a visible rent across the landscape that allowed scientists to directly measure the movement of the longest fault segment, the Greendale Fault. It runs from an area close to Riccarton, under the Central City, through the eastern suburbs off the coast of New Brighton.It runs parallel to the more destructive Port Hills Fault that lies 5 km to the south of the Christchurch Fault. "New Zealand has excellent earthquake standards in its building codes, but those standards were much more stringent on the Alpine fault to the west of Christchurch … The fault rupture started with a small amount of slip between the two sides of the fault at about 6 km depth. The For processing of the radar data: Mahdi Motagh. An Alpine Fault rupture … Even from a distance they are quite disconcerting. and 1.2 seconds. 2). The duration of shaking is expected to last over 3 minutes for an Alpine Fault earthquake and at least 20 seconds for a Hope fault earthquake. Radar images taken from satellites before and after the earthquake were analysed. The 2011 Christchurch earthquake, for example, was the result of a 16km fault rupture. Sure the Alpine will noot be acake walk for many. and so willsend any waves overseas! The Alpine Fault ruptures—on average—every 330 years with a magnitude 8 earthquake. Geologists and authorities are racing to quantify what might happen, and how they might respond in the event of the next one, likely to occur some time in the next 50 years. [1] The Southern Alps have been uplifted on the fault over the last 12 million years in a series of earthquakes. Both earthquakes were less than 50 km from the Christchurch central business area and had a magnitude that is much smaller than that expected from the Alpine fault (Mw=8.2) and that is similar to a potential Hope fault event (Mw7+). Mark Horstman heads to earthquake-ravaged Christchurch and meets the seismologists who are investigating the fault line that caused the damage. However the modelled PGA from an Alpine Fault event … Thherewill be no Tsunami in nz if the Alpine goes as it is a *Landbased* fault line. I felt the next Christchurch quake (22 February) while at work, and a few aftershocks as well. The fault plane extends a few kilometres offshore, but not much fault movement occurred beneath the ocean. These four short videos explain why we are taking the Alpine Fault so seriously and help you understand how you can be prepared for the disruption to normal life that a severe earthquake will cause. The Greendale Fault is an active seismic fault in the middle of New Zealand's South Island. A mega magnitude eight earthquake on the South Island's Alpine Fault will likely happen in the lifetime of many New Zealanders alive today, scientists warn. Compulsory READ: ALPINE FAULT RUPTURE: FACTS Page 3 / 5. fepixie, Jan 29, 11:38pm. Figure 2: Diagram showing the amount and direction of slip of the rock between the two sides of the fault. 2 ALPINE FAULT EARTHQUAKE 2.1 Alpine Fault The Alpine Fault is the largest active fault in New Zealand and extends over 650km on land from Milford Sound to Blenheim. There are three major known earthquake threat sources to Christchurch – and although all differ in their magnitude and distance from the city, all are expected to result in around the same amount of ground shaking. Because the fault doesn’t break the surface, the land overlying the top of the fault has been slightly folded, with the south side warped upward and the north side down (see Fig. The last earthquake on the Alpine Fault was in 1717. The earthquakes on the Alpine Fault occurred at different times to the earthquakes on the southern Hikurangi Trench, showing that they were not one continuous earthquake rupture. However, the violent magnitude 6.3 earthquake that devastated Christchurch on 22 February 2011 was caused by movement along a fault that does not appear to have broken the surface. In the line of fire is the small town of Franz Josef, just 5 kilometers (3 miles) from the often-visited Franz Josef glacier in … How often does the Alpine Fault rupture? Geologists and authorities are racing to quantify what might happen, and how they might respond in the event of the next one, likely to occur some time in the next 50 years. The Alpine Fault marks the boundary of the Pacific and Australian Plates. Home but wholesale death and destruction isunlikely, any links( no matter who they are from) is onlyconjection, not truth, as you said in other thread how many geologists/scientists were around to prove what they say is true. The way in which the Christchurch earthquake happened was due to the vibration of the ‘Alpine fault’ line which runs for around 600 km through Christchurch (Science, Alpine Fault, 2017). Kandahar, being located in south-eastern Afghanistan, is farther removed from tectonic movements in the northeast and is located well away from the Chaman fault, further decreasing its … Regional planning workshops are being held in each South Island region and once they are completed in April, a coordinated South Island Alpine Fault Earthquake (SAFER) Plan will be developed. When the Alpine Fault next ruptures it is likely to produce an earthquake with a magnitude of around 8. It runs from an area close to Riccarton, under the Central City, through the eastern suburbs off the coast of New Brighton. The Alpine Fault, running up the South Island, has an earthquake nearly every 300 years. The hidden fault that caused the February 2011 Christchurch earthquake. Photo: Getty Images. Presentation given in Christchurch in March 2015. It will be centred roughly 60km west of Queenstown, in the South Westland area. It happened along an east-west fault that had not been identified before. Several faults are scattered across New Zealand’s South Island, and all are associated with the motion of the two tectonic plates. Benjamin Mountfort. The rupture will produce one of the biggest earthquakes since European settlement of New Zealand, and it will have a major impact on the lives of many people. Colours on the fault plane indicate the amount of slip between the two sides of the fault (see Fig. The Darfield earthquake had a magnitude of M7.1. Based on data from GPS stations, satellite radar images, seismographs and strong-motion recorders, the fault that caused the 22 February earthquake lies within about six kilometres of the city centre, along the southern edge of the city. The deeper parts of the fault, and the westernmost 5 to 6 kilometres of the fault slipped predominantly horizontally by a few tens of centimetres. Canterbury earthquake. This video shows another validation case to test our Bullet Constraints Builder add-on for Blender with as part of our research. The Alpine Fault runs northeast from the northern side of the entrance to Milford Sound, through the mountains behind Martins Bay, along the coast beneath the Southern Alps to … AF8 is focused on planning for this event in the South Island, but some North Island CDEM groups are also taking the Alpine Fault into account in their planning. The 2004 Boxing Day tsunami and the 2011 liquefaction of buildings in Christchurch … Ground shaking intensities in Christchurch during an Alpine Fault earthquake will be high enough to cause liquefaction. The Alpine Fault ruptures—on average—every 330 years with a magnitude 8 earthquake. The fault is a strike-slip boundary in which the Australian Plate and the Pacific plate are moving horizontally past each other. The faults are identifiable by the way they deform the ground. Such a duration is comparable to the duration observed in Christchurch from the 2010 Mw 7.1 Darfield earthquake. An Alpine Fault rupture could produce one of the most destructive earthquakes since European settlement of New Zealand because of its geologic characteristics. Chemical toilets provided for. Hirat lies close to the Hari Rud fault, but because of this fault’s low slip rate, large earthquakes are infrequent. Scientists have thus had to rely on measurements using a variety of techniques and instruments to determine its location and the nature of its movement. In terms of the way the previous material has been set out in this resource, and because there is so much available about the Alpine Fault, it has been decided to treat material about … Earthquake hits South Island's Alpine Fault; How large? AcknowledgementsFor discussions and sharing of early results: Pierre Briole, ENS, France; Marcello de Michele, BRGM, France; Eric Fielding, JPL, USA; SARmap group, Switzerland; INGV, Italy; GSI, Japan; Shaun Levick, Caroline Holden, Bill Fry, Stephen Bannister, Martin Reyners, all at GNS. The next major rupture of the South Island's Alpine Fault will be one of the largest - if not the biggest - earthquake Kiwis have ever experienced. Now we do. The September 4 earthquake, however, did not occur on the Alpine Fault. The duration of shaking is expected to last over 3 minutes for an Alpine fault earthquake and at least 20 seconds for a Hope fault earthquake. We expect that details of the fault location and slip distribution will be updated in the future, as we incorporate more data and use more sophisticated data analysis techniques. The suburbs of Heathcote and Redcliffs lie above the fault, resulting in heavy damage and extensive rockfalls. CTV building didn't meet. The Christchurch Fault is an active seismic fault running under the city of Christchurch in the middle of New Zealand's South Island.. There is still additional work to do to locate these aftershocks precisely, at which time they may provide additional detail on the fault rupture. Christchurch earthquakes of 2010–11 …and near the city of Christchurch, New Zealand, and the Canterbury Plains region from early September 2010 to late December 2011. All these cities have experienced severe earthquakes since European settlement. In between earthquakes, the Alpine Fault is locked. Chris J. Just after midday on the 22 nd of February 2011, a magnitude 6.3 earthquake struck Christchurch, resulting in 185 deaths.. Seismologist Bill Fry, who is also part of the Resilience to Nature’s Challenges National Science Challenge, was on earthquake duty at GeoNet that day. The 2020 New Zealand Earthquake (pronounced "TWENTY-TWENTY", also known as the Alpine Fault Quake and the 2020 South Island Quake) is a magnitude 8.7 earthquake that will occur on the Alpine Fault in New Zealand's South Island at 11:31 (local) on Thursday, June 18th, 2020. Each colour cycle represents 1.5 centimetres of ground displacement, so the total displacement between the western edge of the image and central Christchurch is about 25 centimetres. The red, green and yellow coloured symbols show some of the GPS stations whose displacements were used to derive the fault slip model. This type of fault motion is called reverse faulting. The fault, which runs about 600km up the western side of the South Island, poses one of the biggest natural threats to New Zealand. When I woke up to feel the first Christchurch earthquake (4 September 2010) my first thought after WTF was whether it was ‘the big one’ expected some time on the Alpine Fault. The land has gone up as much as 40 centimetres around the western side of the Avon-Heathcote estuary. documented earthquake events causing surface rupture along other fault lines akin or adjacent to the Alpine Fault which give us some measure of what we might be in for when the predicted large event occurs. Many Cantabrians and others in the central South Island, had assumed that because the Alpine Fault was more than 100km away shaking would not be strong, even in a large earthquake, he said. An earthquake early-warning system is conceivable for the South Island alpine fault and could give people 30 seconds to get out of buildings. / Hidden fault. 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